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Detroit Tigers
6
100% — our call
Final
Cleveland Guardians
0
0% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilityCleveland Guardians
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Guardians in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891113
Tigers · 11 H, 0 EGuardians · 3 H, 1 E
0%
Guardians win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Guardians win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9José Ramírez pops out to second baseman Javier Báez.
bot 9Angel Martínez lines out to shortstop John Peck.
bot 9Steven Kwan grounds out, shortstop John Peck to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
top 9Ben Malgeri strikes out swinging.
top 9Dillon Dingler grounds out, third baseman José Ramírez to first baseman David Fry.
top 9Riley Greene strikes out swinging.
bot 8Brayan Rocchio grounds out to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
bot 8Austin Hedges grounds out softly to pitcher Kyle Finnegan.

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Riley Greene 4-5, 2 HR, 4 RBI · Ben Malgeri 3-5, 1 RBI · John Peck 2-3
Cleveland Guardians
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Angel Genao 1-3 · David Fry 1-3 · Angel Martínez 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.