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Kansas City Royals
8
100% — our call
Final
Cleveland Guardians
3
0% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityCleveland Guardians
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Guardians in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Royals · 12 H, 2 EGuardians · 5 H, 1 E
0%
Guardians win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Guardians win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Angel Genao grounds out, first baseman Salvador Perez to pitcher Alex Lange.
bot 9Nathaniel Lowe strikes out swinging.
bot 9Angel Martínez singles on a line drive to center fielder John Rave. José Ramírez scores.8–3
bot 9Jo Adell grounds out, shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to first baseman Salvador Perez.
bot 9José Ramírez doubles (24) on a line drive to right fielder Jac Caglianone.
top 9Nick Loftin grounds into a force out, shortstop Brayan Rocchio to second baseman Angel Genao. Jac Caglianone out at 2nd.
top 9Salvador Perez strikes out swinging.
top 9Jac Caglianone singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jo Adell.

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Josh Rojas 2-2, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Salvador Perez 2-5, 1 RBI · Nick Loftin 2-5
Cleveland Guardians
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Angel Martínez 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · David Fry 1-1 · José Ramírez 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.