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Kansas City Royals
3
100% — our call
Final
Cleveland Guardians
0
0% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityCleveland Guardians
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Guardians in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Royals · 9 H, 0 EGuardians · 6 H, 1 E
0%
Guardians win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Guardians win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Angel Genao grounds out softly, pitcher Steven Cruz to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
bot 9Nathaniel Lowe strikes out swinging.
bot 9Jo Adell singles on a pop up to right fielder Jac Caglianone. Chase DeLauter to 2nd.
bot 9José Ramírez strikes out swinging.
bot 9Chase DeLauter singles on a ground ball to left fielder Tyler Tolbert.
top 9Bobby Witt Jr. flies out sharply to center fielder Petey Halpin.
top 9Carter Jensen homers (19) on a fly ball to right center field. Tyler Tolbert scores.3–0
top 9Kyle Isbel strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Carter Jensen 1-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Isaac Collins 2-3 · Jac Caglianone 2-4
Cleveland Guardians
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Patrick Bailey 2-3 · Chase DeLauter 1-4 · Brayan Rocchio 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.