Statball

← All live games · Progressive Field

San Diego Padres
5
100% — our call
Final
Cleveland Guardians
0
0% — our call
San Diego Padresgame flow — win probabilityCleveland Guardians
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Guardians in control. Red fill: Padres. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567892111
Padres · 10 H, 0 EGuardians · 3 H, 0 E
0%
Guardians win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Guardians win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Nathaniel Lowe strikes out swinging.
bot 9Jo Adell grounds into a force out, fielded by second baseman Jake Cronenworth. José Ramírez out at 2nd. Jo Adell to 1st.
bot 9José Ramírez walks.
bot 9Angel Martínez strikes out swinging.
top 9Ty France grounds out, first baseman Nathaniel Lowe to pitcher Cade Smith.
top 9Manny Machado grounds out, third baseman José Ramírez to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe.
top 9Jake Cronenworth homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.50
top 9Fernando Tatis Jr. grounds out, shortstop Brayan Rocchio to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe.

Context the model prices

San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Luis Rengifo 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Gavin Sheets 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jase Bowen 1-1, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Cleveland Guardians
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
José Ramírez 2-3 · Nathaniel Lowe 1-4 · Chase DeLauter 0-1

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.