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San Diego Padres
7
100% — our call
Final
Cleveland Guardians
5
0% — our call
San Diego Padresgame flow — win probabilityCleveland Guardians
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Guardians in control. Red fill: Padres. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Padres · 12 H, 2 EGuardians · 10 H, 0 E
0%
Guardians win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Guardians win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Angel Martínez called out on strikes.
bot 9Chase DeLauter called out on strikes.
bot 9Steven Kwan grounds out, shortstop Xander Bogaerts to first baseman Ty France. Brayan Rocchio to 3rd.
bot 9Brayan Rocchio doubles (18) on a ground ball to second baseman Jake Cronenworth, deflected by first baseman Ty France.
top 9Gavin Sheets singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Chase DeLauter.
top 9Luis Campusano lines out sharply to right fielder Chase DeLauter.
top 9Jackson Merrill flies out sharply to right fielder Chase DeLauter.
bot 8Patrick Bailey grounds out, second baseman Jake Cronenworth to first baseman Ty France.

Context the model prices

San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Fernando Tatis Jr. 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Xander Bogaerts 1-1, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Luis Campusano 2-5, 3 RBI
Cleveland Guardians
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Nathaniel Lowe 3-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Brayan Rocchio 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Angel Genao 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.