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San Diego Padres
1
0% — our call
Final
Cleveland Guardians
6
100% — our call
San Diego Padresgame flow — win probabilityCleveland Guardians
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Guardians in control. Red fill: Padres. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678911122
Padres · 1 H, 2 EGuardians · 11 H, 0 E
100%
Guardians win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Guardians win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Manny Machado strikes out swinging.
top 9Jake Cronenworth grounds out, second baseman Travis Bazzana to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe.
top 9Fernando Tatis Jr. strikes out swinging.
bot 8Petey Halpin lines out sharply to center fielder Jackson Merrill.
bot 8Patrick Bailey grounds out, second baseman Jake Cronenworth to first baseman Ty France.
bot 8Travis Bazzana called out on strikes.
top 8Freddy Fermin grounds out to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe.
top 8Xander Bogaerts grounds out, second baseman Travis Bazzana to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe.

Context the model prices

San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jake Cronenworth 1-4 · Luis Campusano 0-2 · Freddy Fermin 0-3
Cleveland Guardians
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Chase DeLauter 2-4 · Jo Adell 2-4, 1 RBI · Steven Kwan 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.