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New York Mets
6
100% — our call
Final
Cleveland Guardians
5
0% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityCleveland Guardians
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Guardians in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mets · 8 H, 2 EGuardians · 11 H, 3 E
0%
Guardians win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Guardians win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Nathaniel Lowe grounds out to first baseman Jared Young.
bot 10Jo Adell pops out to second baseman Marcus Semien on the infield fly rule.
bot 10Chase DeLauter walks.
bot 10Steven Kwan bunt pops out to third baseman Bo Bichette.
top 10Jared Young called out on strikes.
top 10Carson Benge strikes out swinging.
top 10Bo Bichette singles on a line drive to right fielder Jo Adell. Francisco Lindor scores. Bo Bichette out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Jo Adell to shortstop Brayan Rocchio.65
bot 9Angel Genao flies out to center fielder Luis Robert Jr.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jorge Polanco 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Brett Baty 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Carson Benge 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Cleveland Guardians
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Angel Genao 4-5, 1 RBI · Nathaniel Lowe 2-6, 2 RBI · Patrick Bailey 2-5, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.