Statball

← All live games · Progressive Field

Arizona Diamondbacks
0
0% — our call
Final
Cleveland Guardians
5
100% — our call
Arizona Diamondbacksgame flow — win probabilityCleveland Guardians
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Guardians in control. Red fill: Diamondbacks. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678923
Diamondbacks · 2 H, 0 EGuardians · 8 H, 2 E
100%
Guardians win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Guardians win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Adrian Del Castillo grounds out to first baseman Kyle Manzardo.
top 9Ildemaro Vargas strikes out swinging.
top 9Tim Tawa reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by shortstop Brayan Rocchio. Max Kepler to 3rd. Nolan Arenado to 2nd. Fielding error by shortstop Brayan Rocchio.
top 9Nolan Arenado walks. Max Kepler to 2nd.
top 9Max Kepler walks.
top 9Ketel Marte grounds out, shortstop Brayan Rocchio to first baseman Kyle Manzardo.
bot 8Gabriel Arias strikes out swinging.
bot 8Brayan Rocchio pops out to third baseman Nolan Arenado.

Context the model prices

Arizona Diamondbacks
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Tim Tawa 1-4 · Geraldo Perdomo 1-3 · Adrian Del Castillo 0-1
Cleveland Guardians
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Patrick Bailey 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Chase DeLauter 2-4, 3 RBI · Travis Bazzana 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.