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Minnesota Twins
3
100% — our call
Final
Cleveland Guardians
1
0% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityCleveland Guardians
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Guardians in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Twins · 6 H, 0 EGuardians · 3 H, 1 E
0%
Guardians win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Guardians win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 12Daniel Schneemann flies out to left fielder Trevor Larnach.
bot 12Patrick Bailey walks.
bot 12Gabriel Arias grounds out, second baseman Luke Keaschall to first baseman Kody Clemens. Travis Bazzana to 3rd.
bot 12Rhys Hoskins strikes out on a foul tip.
top 12Alan Roden flies out to left fielder Steven Kwan.
top 12Luke Keaschall singles on a ground ball to left fielder Steven Kwan. Royce Lewis scores. Trevor Larnach to 3rd. Throwing error by left fielder Steven Kwan.31
top 12Trevor Larnach singles on a ground ball to left fielder Steven Kwan. Ryan Jeffers scores. Royce Lewis to 2nd.21
top 12Erik Sabrowski intentionally walks Royce Lewis.

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Kody Clemens 1-5 · Alan Roden 1-3, 1 RBI · Ryan Jeffers 1-5
Cleveland Guardians
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Patrick Bailey 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Steven Kwan 2-4 · Chase DeLauter 0-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.