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Arizona Diamondbacks
4
100% — our call
Final
Cleveland Guardians
1
0% — our call
Arizona Diamondbacksgame flow — win probabilityCleveland Guardians
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Guardians in control. Red fill: Diamondbacks. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678941
Diamondbacks · 6 H, 0 EGuardians · 3 H, 1 E
0%
Guardians win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Guardians win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Travis Bazzana strikes out swinging.
bot 9Petey Halpin lines out to shortstop Geraldo Perdomo.
bot 9Brayan Rocchio grounds out, shortstop Geraldo Perdomo to first baseman Ildemaro Vargas.
top 9Ildemaro Vargas grounds out, shortstop Brayan Rocchio to first baseman Kyle Manzardo.
top 9Adrian Del Castillo strikes out swinging.
top 9Nolan Arenado grounds out, second baseman Travis Bazzana to first baseman Kyle Manzardo.
bot 8Kyle Manzardo flies out to center fielder Jorge Barrosa.
bot 8Chase DeLauter grounds out, second baseman Ketel Marte to first baseman Ildemaro Vargas.

Context the model prices

Arizona Diamondbacks
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Ryan Waldschmidt 2-3 · Geraldo Perdomo 2-4, 1 RBI · Ketel Marte 1-3, 1 RBI
Cleveland Guardians
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Steven Kwan 2-2 · Rhys Hoskins 1-1, 1 RBI · Chase DeLauter 0-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.