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Pittsburgh Pirates
7
100% — our call
Final
Cleveland Guardians
1
0% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityCleveland Guardians
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Guardians in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Pirates · 11 H, 1 EGuardians · 7 H, 1 E
0%
Guardians win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Guardians win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Brayan Rocchio lines out to right fielder Esmerlyn Valdez.
bot 9Chase DeLauter flies out to left fielder Jake Mangum.
top 9Nick Gonzales flies out to center fielder Petey Halpin.
top 9Ryan O'Hearn called out on strikes.
top 9Esmerlyn Valdez homers (12) on a fly ball to left field. Jared Triolo scores.71
top 9Bryan Reynolds called out on strikes.
top 9Jared Triolo singles on a ground ball to left fielder Steven Kwan.
bot 8Steven Kwan grounds out, second baseman Nick Gonzales to first baseman Ryan O'Hearn.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Esmerlyn Valdez 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Billy Cook 3-4, 2 RBI · Jared Triolo 2-3
Cleveland Guardians
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Steven Kwan 2-4, 1 RBI · Kahlil Watson 1-3 · Chase DeLauter 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.