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Chicago White Sox
7
100% — our call
Final
Cleveland Guardians
6
0% — our call
Chicago White Soxgame flow — win probabilityCleveland Guardians
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Guardians in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789213133
Sox · 9 H, 1 EGuardians · 12 H, 0 E
0%
Guardians win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Guardians win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Gabriel Arias strikes out swinging.
bot 9Rhys Hoskins strikes out swinging.
bot 9Chase DeLauter grounds out softly, second baseman Chase Meidroth to first baseman Miguel Vargas.
top 9Braden Montgomery grounds out, second baseman Travis Bazzana to first baseman Kyle Manzardo.
top 9Colson Montgomery flies out to left fielder Daniel Schneemann.
top 9Andrew Benintendi grounds out to first baseman Kyle Manzardo.
bot 8Kahlil Watson flies out to left fielder Sam Antonacci.
bot 8Travis Bazzana grounds into a force out, second baseman Chase Meidroth to shortstop Luisangel Acuña. Brayan Rocchio to 3rd. David Fry out at 2nd. Travis Bazzana to 1st.

Context the model prices

Chicago White Sox
10 on the injured list · bullpen threw 34 batters faced over the last two days
Tristan Peters 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Colson Montgomery 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Kyle Teel 1-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Cleveland Guardians
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 34 batters faced over the last two days
Chase DeLauter 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Gabriel Arias 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Daniel Schneemann 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.