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Pittsburgh Pirates
7
100% — our call
Final
Cleveland Guardians
1
0% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityCleveland Guardians
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Guardians in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567892321
Pirates · 11 H, 0 EGuardians · 6 H, 0 E
0%
Guardians win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Guardians win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Gabriel Arias strikes out swinging.
bot 9Kahlil Watson singles on a ground ball to center fielder Billy Cook.
bot 9Rhys Hoskins flies out to center fielder Billy Cook.
bot 9Kyle Manzardo strikes out swinging.
top 9Jake Mangum grounds into a double play, second baseman Travis Bazzana to shortstop Brayan Rocchio to first baseman Kyle Manzardo. Henry Davis out at 2nd. Jake Mangum out at 1st.
top 9Henry Davis singles on a line drive to right fielder Chase DeLauter.
top 9Jacob Gonzalez grounds out, shortstop Brayan Rocchio to first baseman Kyle Manzardo.
bot 8Chase DeLauter grounds out, second baseman Brandon Lowe to first baseman Tyler Callihan.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jacob Gonzalez 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Nick Gonzales 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Esmerlyn Valdez 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Cleveland Guardians
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Steven Kwan 2-2 · Kahlil Watson 1-4 · Chase DeLauter 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.