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Seattle Mariners
3
0% — our call
Final
Cleveland Guardians
4
100% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityCleveland Guardians
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Guardians in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789331
Mariners · 8 H, 0 EGuardians · 7 H, 1 E
100%
Guardians win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Guardians win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Josh Naylor grounds out, shortstop Brayan Rocchio to first baseman Kyle Manzardo.
top 9Randy Arozarena hit by pitch. Julio Rodríguez to 2nd.
top 9Dominic Canzone lines out to center fielder Daniel Schneemann.
top 9Julio Rodríguez singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Daniel Schneemann.
top 9J.P. Crawford strikes out swinging.
bot 8Kyle Manzardo grounds out to first baseman Josh Naylor.
bot 8Brayan Rocchio strikes out swinging.
bot 8Travis Bazzana grounds out, third baseman J.P. Crawford to first baseman Josh Naylor.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 20 batters faced over the last two days
Randy Arozarena 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Dominic Canzone 2-5 · Julio Rodríguez 2-4
Cleveland Guardians
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 16 batters faced over the last two days
Travis Bazzana 2-4 · Kahlil Watson 1-3, 1 RBI · Brayan Rocchio 1-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.