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Seattle Mariners
5
0% — our call
Final
Cleveland Guardians
6
100% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityCleveland Guardians
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Guardians in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mariners · 13 H, 1 EGuardians · 12 H, 2 E
100%
Guardians win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Guardians win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9J.P. Crawford grounds out, shortstop Brayan Rocchio to first baseman Rhys Hoskins.
top 9Victor Robles reaches on a throwing error by second baseman Travis Bazzana. Cole Young scores. Colt Emerson to 3rd. Victor Robles to 2nd.56
top 9Dominic Canzone strikes out swinging.
top 9Colt Emerson singles on a ground ball to center fielder Steven Kwan, deflected by shortstop Brayan Rocchio. Cole Young to 3rd.
top 9Cole Young singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder David Fry.
top 9Cal Raleigh lines out sharply to center fielder Steven Kwan.
bot 8Brayan Rocchio flies out to left fielder Randy Arozarena.
bot 8David Fry walks.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 12 batters faced over the last two days
Josh Naylor 2-4, 1 RBI · Victor Robles 2-5 · Cole Young 2-5
Cleveland Guardians
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
Kahlil Watson 2-3 · Chase DeLauter 2-5, 2 RBI · Daniel Schneemann 2-2, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.