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Seattle Mariners
3
100% — our call
Final
Cleveland Guardians
1
0% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityCleveland Guardians
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Guardians in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mariners · 6 H, 1 EGuardians · 4 H, 0 E
0%
Guardians win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Guardians win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Kahlil Watson grounds out, shortstop Colt Emerson to first baseman Josh Naylor.
bot 9Brayan Rocchio strikes out swinging.
bot 9Kyle Manzardo strikes out swinging.
top 9Colt Emerson strikes out swinging.
top 9Cole Young singles on a line drive to center fielder Steven Kwan. Luke Raley to 2nd.
top 9Luke Raley singles on a line drive to left fielder David Fry.
top 9J.P. Crawford grounds out to first baseman Kyle Manzardo.
top 9Josh Naylor grounds out, second baseman Travis Bazzana to first baseman Kyle Manzardo.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
Colt Emerson 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Cole Young 1-4 · Randy Arozarena 1-3
Cleveland Guardians
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 22 batters faced over the last two days
Kahlil Watson 1-4, 1 RBI · Brayan Rocchio 1-4 · Steven Kwan 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.