Statball

← All live games · Progressive Field

Detroit Tigers
2
0% — our call
Final
Cleveland Guardians
3
100% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilityCleveland Guardians
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Guardians in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891121
Tigers · 2 H, 0 EGuardians · 9 H, 1 E
100%
Guardians win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Guardians win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Dillon Dingler flies out to left fielder Angel Martínez.
top 9Riley Greene strikes out swinging.
top 9Gleyber Torres grounds out, second baseman Travis Bazzana to first baseman Rhys Hoskins.
bot 8Patrick Bailey strikes out swinging.
bot 8Steven Kwan called out on strikes.
bot 8Angel Martínez strikes out swinging, catcher Dillon Dingler to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
top 8Kevin McGonigle flies out to right fielder Chase DeLauter.
top 8James Outman flies out to left fielder Angel Martínez.

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
9 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 28 batters faced over the last two days
Spencer Torkelson 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · James Outman 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Zach McKinstry 0-3
Cleveland Guardians
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Chase DeLauter 2-3 · Patrick Bailey 2-3, 1 RBI · Steven Kwan 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.