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New York Yankees
7
100% — our call
Final
Cleveland Guardians
5
0% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityCleveland Guardians
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Guardians in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Yankees · 9 H, 1 EGuardians · 8 H, 2 E
0%
Guardians win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Guardians win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Brayan Rocchio grounds out, second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. to first baseman Ben Rice.
bot 10Patrick Bailey called out on strikes.
bot 10Steven Kwan lines out to shortstop Anthony Volpe.
bot 10Angel Martínez walks.
top 10Jazz Chisholm Jr. bunt grounds out softly, catcher Patrick Bailey to first baseman Rhys Hoskins.
top 10Cody Bellinger singles on a ground ball to left fielder Steven Kwan. Ali Sánchez scores. Ben Rice scores. Max Schuemann out at 3rd on the throw, left fielder Steven Kwan to third baseman José Ramírez to shortstop Brayan Rocchio.75
top 10Shawn Armstrong intentionally walks Ben Rice.
top 10Trent Grisham flies out sharply to left fielder Steven Kwan.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 11 batters faced over the last two days
Ryan McMahon 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Paul Goldschmidt 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Ben Rice 2-3
Cleveland Guardians
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 13 batters faced over the last two days
Angel Martínez 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Patrick Bailey 2-5 · Brayan Rocchio 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.