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New York Yankees
8
100% — our call
Final
Cleveland Guardians
4
0% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityCleveland Guardians
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Guardians in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Yankees · 11 H, 1 EGuardians · 6 H, 2 E
0%
Guardians win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Guardians win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Angel Martínez lines out to third baseman Ryan McMahon.
bot 9Brayan Rocchio reaches on a fielder's choice out, shortstop Anthony Volpe to third baseman Ryan McMahon. Austin Hedges out at 3rd.
bot 9Austin Hedges doubles (6) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Trent Grisham. Stuart Fairchild scores.84
bot 9Daniel Schneemann strikes out swinging.
top 9Anthony Volpe grounds out, third baseman Daniel Schneemann to first baseman Rhys Hoskins.
top 9Jazz Chisholm Jr. strikes out swinging.
top 9José Caballero strikes out swinging.
bot 8Travis Bazzana grounds out, shortstop Anthony Volpe to first baseman Ben Rice.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 46 batters faced over the last two days
José Caballero 2-4, 2 RBI · Paul Goldschmidt 2-4, 1 RBI · Trent Grisham 2-4
Cleveland Guardians
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 36 batters faced over the last two days
Angel Martínez 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Austin Hedges 2-4, 2 RBI · Travis Bazzana 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.