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New York Yankees
3
100% — our call
Final
Cleveland Guardians
2
0% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityCleveland Guardians
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Guardians in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789212
Yankees · 8 H, 1 EGuardians · 10 H, 1 E
0%
Guardians win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Guardians win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Angel Martínez strikes out swinging.
bot 9Rhys Hoskins strikes out swinging.
bot 9Kyle Manzardo strikes out swinging.
bot 9Chase DeLauter walks.
top 9Paul Goldschmidt grounds out, second baseman Daniel Schneemann to first baseman Kyle Manzardo.
top 9Ben Rice grounds out to first baseman Kyle Manzardo.
top 9Trent Grisham grounds out, shortstop Brayan Rocchio to first baseman Kyle Manzardo.
bot 8José Ramírez lines out to center fielder Trent Grisham.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 36 batters faced over the last two days
Spencer Jones 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jazz Chisholm Jr. 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ryan McMahon 2-3
Cleveland Guardians
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
José Ramírez 2-5 · Angel Martínez 2-5, 1 RBI · Kyle Manzardo 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.