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Boston Red Sox
9
100% — our call
Final
Cleveland Guardians
4
0% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityCleveland Guardians
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Guardians in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Sox · 12 H, 1 EGuardians · 11 H, 0 E
0%
Guardians win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Guardians win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9David Fry strikes out swinging.
bot 9Rhys Hoskins strikes out swinging.
bot 9Chase DeLauter singles on a ground ball to third baseman Caleb Durbin, deflected by pitcher Aroldis Chapman.
bot 9José Ramírez grounds out, shortstop Marcelo Mayer to first baseman Willson Contreras.
top 9Isiah Kiner-Falefa lines out sharply to center fielder Petey Halpin.
top 9Masataka Yoshida singles on a line drive to center fielder Petey Halpin, deflected by second baseman Travis Bazzana. Wilyer Abreu to 2nd.
top 9Wilyer Abreu singles on a line drive to left fielder David Fry.
top 9Mickey Gasper called out on strikes.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
9 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 36 batters faced over the last two days
Jarren Duran 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Wilyer Abreu 2-4, 2 RBI · Carlos Narváez 2-4
Cleveland Guardians
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 43 batters faced over the last two days
Chase DeLauter 3-5, 1 RBI · David Fry 3-4 · Brayan Rocchio 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.