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Cincinnati Reds
4
0% — our call
Final
Cleveland Guardians
7
100% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilityCleveland Guardians
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Guardians in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Reds · 5 H, 1 EGuardians · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Guardians win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Guardians win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Nathaniel Lowe lines out sharply to left fielder Steven Kwan.
top 9Tyler Stephenson walks.
top 9Will Benson called out on strikes.
top 9Matt McLain strikes out swinging.
bot 8Angel Martínez flies out to right fielder Blake Dunn.
bot 8Steven Kwan walks. Chase DeLauter to 3rd. Travis Bazzana to 2nd.
bot 8Travis Bazzana reaches on a fielding error by pitcher Connor Phillips. José Ramírez scores. Chase DeLauter to 2nd.47
bot 8Kyle Manzardo strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
Dane Myers 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Blake Dunn 2-3 · Elly De La Cruz 1-3
Cleveland Guardians
1 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 13 batters faced over the last two days
Angel Martínez 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Brayan Rocchio 2-3, 2 RBI · José Ramírez 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.