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Minnesota Twins
5
100% — our call
Final
Cleveland Guardians
4
0% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityCleveland Guardians
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Guardians in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Twins · 13 H, 1 EGuardians · 11 H, 0 E
0%
Guardians win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Guardians win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Travis Bazzana grounds out, shortstop Brooks Lee to first baseman Kody Clemens.
bot 9Angel Martínez grounds out, first baseman Kody Clemens to pitcher Yoendrys Gómez.
bot 9Daniel Schneemann flies out to left fielder James Outman.
top 9Victor Caratini flies out to right fielder Chase DeLauter.
top 9Tim Herrin intentionally walks Byron Buxton.
top 9Royce Lewis strikes out swinging.
top 9Brooks Lee out on a sacrifice bunt, pitcher Tim Herrin to second baseman Travis Bazzana. Kody Clemens to 2nd.
top 9Kody Clemens singles on a ground ball to left fielder Angel Martínez.

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 36 batters faced over the last two days
Kody Clemens 3-4 · Brooks Lee 2-3, 1 RBI · Austin Martin 2-3, 1 RBI
Cleveland Guardians
2 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
Brayan Rocchio 4-4 · Chase DeLauter 2-5, 2 RBI · Travis Bazzana 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.