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Minnesota Twins
4
0% — our call
Final
Cleveland Guardians
6
100% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityCleveland Guardians
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Guardians in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Twins · 13 H, 1 EGuardians · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Guardians win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Guardians win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Josh Bell strikes out swinging.
top 9Ryan Jeffers grounds into a double play, shortstop Brayan Rocchio to second baseman Travis Bazzana to first baseman Rhys Hoskins. Byron Buxton scores. Austin Martin out at 2nd. Ryan Jeffers out at 1st.46
top 9Austin Martin singles on a line drive to second baseman Travis Bazzana. Byron Buxton to 3rd.
top 9Byron Buxton singles on a ground ball to center fielder Petey Halpin.
bot 8Angel Martínez grounds out, second baseman Luke Keaschall to first baseman Kody Clemens.
bot 8Steven Kwan walks. Austin Hedges to 3rd. Petey Halpin to 2nd.
bot 8Petey Halpin reaches on a fielder's choice out, pitcher Anthony Banda to catcher Ryan Jeffers. Brayan Rocchio out at home. Austin Hedges to 2nd.
bot 8Austin Hedges singles on a sharp ground ball to second baseman Luke Keaschall, deflected by pitcher Anthony Banda. Travis Bazzana scores. Brayan Rocchio to 3rd.36

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 37 batters faced over the last two days
Byron Buxton 3-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Austin Martin 3-5 · Brooks Lee 2-4
Cleveland Guardians
2 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 34 batters faced over the last two days
Travis Bazzana 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · José Ramírez 2-4, 1 RBI · Steven Kwan 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.