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Minnesota Twins
2
100% — our call
Final
Cleveland Guardians
1
0% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityCleveland Guardians
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Guardians in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Twins · 2 H, 0 EGuardians · 2 H, 1 E
0%
Guardians win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Guardians win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 11Brayan Rocchio grounds out, shortstop Brooks Lee to first baseman Kody Clemens.
bot 11David Fry flies out to left fielder Austin Martin.
bot 11Angel Martínez flies out to left fielder Austin Martin.
top 11Austin Martin strikes out swinging.
top 11Brooks Lee grounds out, second baseman Travis Bazzana to first baseman Rhys Hoskins. Byron Buxton to 3rd.
top 11Byron Buxton doubles (7) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Petey Halpin. Matt Wallner scores.21
top 11Royce Lewis grounds out, second baseman Travis Bazzana to first baseman Rhys Hoskins. Matt Wallner to 3rd.
bot 10Travis Bazzana lines out to left fielder Austin Martin.

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
Byron Buxton 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Victor Caratini 0-4 · Kody Clemens 0-4
Cleveland Guardians
2 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
José Ramírez 1-3 · Kyle Manzardo 1-3, 1 RBI · Chase DeLauter 0-5

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.