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Tampa Bay Rays
1
0% — our call
Final
Cleveland Guardians
3
100% — our call
Tampa Bay Raysgame flow — win probabilityCleveland Guardians
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Guardians in control. Red fill: Rays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789112
Rays · 6 H, 1 EGuardians · 9 H, 1 E
100%
Guardians win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Guardians win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Richie Palacios strikes out swinging.
top 9Cedric Mullins pops out to third baseman Daniel Schneemann in foul territory.
top 9Jake Fraley strikes out swinging.
top 9Yandy Díaz singles on a line drive to left fielder Angel Martínez.
bot 8Steven Kwan grounds out to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
bot 8Brayan Rocchio singles on a line drive to left fielder Chandler Simpson.
bot 8Bo Naylor pops out to shortstop Taylor Walls.
bot 8Travis Bazzana pops out to shortstop Taylor Walls.

Context the model prices

Tampa Bay Rays
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Chandler Simpson 2-4 · Yandy Díaz 2-4 · Jake Fraley 1-4
Cleveland Guardians
2 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
Brayan Rocchio 3-4 · Chase DeLauter 2-3, 2 RBI · Daniel Schneemann 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.