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Houston Astros
2
100% — our call
Final
Cleveland Guardians
0
0% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityCleveland Guardians
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Guardians in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567892
Astros · 6 H, 1 EGuardians · 5 H, 0 E
0%
Guardians win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Guardians win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Brayan Rocchio flies out to center fielder Daniel Johnson.
bot 9Bo Naylor walks.
bot 9Angel Martínez flies out to right fielder Cam Smith.
bot 9Daniel Schneemann singles on a ground ball to second baseman Jose Altuve.
bot 9George Valera lines out to left fielder Brice Matthews.
top 9Christian Vázquez strikes out swinging.
top 9Daniel Johnson lines out to center fielder Steven Kwan.
top 9Cam Smith lines out to right fielder Chase DeLauter.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
16 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 38 batters faced over the last two days
Yordan Alvarez 3-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Isaac Paredes 1-4 · Carlos Correa 1-4
Cleveland Guardians
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Chase DeLauter 2-4 · Daniel Schneemann 1-3 · José Ramírez 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.