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Houston Astros
9
100% — our call
Final
Cleveland Guardians
2
0% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityCleveland Guardians
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Guardians in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Astros · 13 H, 0 EGuardians · 8 H, 2 E
0%
Guardians win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Guardians win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Rhys Hoskins singles on a line drive to left fielder Dustin Harris. Rhys Hoskins out at 2nd on the throw, left fielder Dustin Harris to second baseman Jose Altuve.
bot 9Kyle Manzardo called out on strikes.
bot 9José Ramírez flies out to right fielder Cam Smith.
top 9Yainer Diaz flies out to left fielder George Valera.
top 9Cam Smith strikes out swinging.
top 9Isaac Paredes homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.92
top 9Christian Walker grounds out softly, first baseman Kyle Manzardo to pitcher Connor Brogdon.
bot 8Chase DeLauter grounds out, second baseman Jose Altuve to first baseman Christian Walker.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
15 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 42 batters faced over the last two days
Isaac Paredes 3-5, 2 HR, 2 RBI · Christian Walker 3-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Carlos Correa 3-5, 2 RBI
Cleveland Guardians
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Brayan Rocchio 3-3 · Rhys Hoskins 2-4, 1 RBI · George Valera 1-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.