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Baltimore Orioles
2
0% — our call
Final
Cleveland Guardians
4
100% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityCleveland Guardians
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Guardians in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Orioles · 4 H, 0 EGuardians · 3 H, 1 E
100%
Guardians win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Guardians win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Leody Taveras strikes out swinging.
top 9Colton Cowser strikes out swinging.
top 9Dylan Beavers strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 8Chase DeLauter flies out to left fielder Taylor Ward.
bot 8Steven Kwan grounds out, first baseman Pete Alonso to pitcher Albert Suárez.
bot 8Brayan Rocchio lines out to left fielder Taylor Ward.
bot 8Bo Naylor homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.24
top 8Pete Alonso strikes out on a foul tip.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
11 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 28 batters faced over the last two days
Gunnar Henderson 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Leody Taveras 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Taylor Ward 1-4
Cleveland Guardians
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 21 batters faced over the last two days
Brayan Rocchio 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Bo Naylor 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Daniel Schneemann 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.