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Baltimore Orioles
4
0% — our call
Final
Cleveland Guardians
8
100% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityCleveland Guardians
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Guardians in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Orioles · 5 H, 1 EGuardians · 8 H, 1 E
100%
Guardians win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Guardians win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Gunnar Henderson strikes out swinging.
top 9Taylor Ward lines out to left fielder Angel Martínez.
top 9Colton Cowser flies out sharply to left fielder Angel Martínez.
bot 8Steven Kwan pops out to third baseman Blaze Alexander.
bot 8Brayan Rocchio singles on a line drive to center fielder Leody Taveras. Rhys Hoskins scores. David Fry scores. Daniel Schneemann to 2nd.48
bot 8Austin Hedges strikes out swinging.
bot 8Juan Brito strikes out swinging.
bot 8Daniel Schneemann walks. Rhys Hoskins to 3rd. David Fry to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
11 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Taylor Ward 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Jeremiah Jackson 1-3 · Pete Alonso 1-4
Cleveland Guardians
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
José Ramírez 2-4, 2 HR, 2 RBI · Brayan Rocchio 3-4, 3 RBI · David Fry 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.