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Baltimore Orioles
6
100% — our call
Final
Cleveland Guardians
4
0% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityCleveland Guardians
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Guardians in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Orioles · 7 H, 1 EGuardians · 7 H, 0 E
0%
Guardians win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Guardians win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9George Valera grounds out, second baseman Jeremiah Jackson to first baseman Pete Alonso.
bot 9Kyle Manzardo strikes out swinging.
bot 9José Ramírez walks.
bot 9Chase DeLauter flies out to center fielder Blaze Alexander.
top 9Sam Huff strikes out swinging.
top 9Dylan Beavers singles on a ground ball to right fielder Chase DeLauter.
top 9Pete Alonso flies out to right fielder Chase DeLauter.
top 9Taylor Ward strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
11 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Jeremiah Jackson 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Pete Alonso 2-4 · Weston Wilson 1-1, 2 RBI
Cleveland Guardians
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Daniel Schneemann 2-4, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Chase DeLauter 1-4 · Steven Kwan 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.