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Kansas City Royals
2
0% — our call
Final
Cleveland Guardians
10
100% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityCleveland Guardians
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Guardians in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Royals · 5 H, 1 EGuardians · 16 H, 2 E
100%
Guardians win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Guardians win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Starling Marte lines out to center fielder Steven Kwan.
top 9Jonathan India pops out to shortstop Brayan Rocchio.
top 9Lane Thomas walks.
top 9Carter Jensen strikes out swinging.
bot 8Chase DeLauter grounds into a double play, second baseman Jonathan India to shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino. Kyle Manzardo out at 2nd. Chase DeLauter out at 1st.
bot 8Kyle Manzardo singles on a line drive to center fielder Lane Thomas.
bot 8José Ramírez called out on strikes.
bot 8Angel Martínez hits a grand slam (1) to right center field. Austin Hedges scores. Brayan Rocchio scores. Steven Kwan scores.210

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 20 batters faced over the last two days
Bobby Witt Jr. 2-4, 1 RBI · Starling Marte 1-4 · Vinnie Pasquantino 1-4
Cleveland Guardians
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
Angel Martínez 4-5, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Rhys Hoskins 3-4, 1 RBI · José Ramírez 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.