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Kansas City Royals
4
100% — our call
Final
Cleveland Guardians
2
0% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityCleveland Guardians
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Guardians in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Royals · 11 H, 0 EGuardians · 4 H, 0 E
0%
Guardians win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Guardians win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9CJ Kayfus flies out to left fielder Isaac Collins.
bot 9Bo Naylor flies out to left fielder Isaac Collins.
bot 9Rhys Hoskins strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Vinnie Pasquantino pops out to third baseman José Ramírez.
top 9Kolby Allard intentionally walks Bobby Witt Jr.
top 9Maikel Garcia doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to left fielder CJ Kayfus.
top 9Kyle Isbel grounds out, third baseman José Ramírez to first baseman David Fry.
bot 8David Fry flies out to left fielder Isaac Collins.

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 59 batters faced over the last two days
Carter Jensen 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jonathan India 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Maikel Garcia 2-5
Cleveland Guardians
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
Steven Kwan 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Brayan Rocchio 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Gabriel Arias 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.