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Chicago Cubs
1
0% — our call
Final
Cleveland Guardians
4
100% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityCleveland Guardians
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Guardians in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789113
Cubs · 5 H, 1 EGuardians · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Guardians win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Guardians win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Dansby Swanson strikes out swinging.
top 9Michael Busch strikes out swinging.
top 9Carson Kelly singles on a ground ball to right fielder Angel Martínez.
bot 8Daniel Schneemann strikes out swinging.
bot 8Angel Martínez walks.
bot 8Bo Naylor grounds out softly, catcher Carson Kelly to first baseman Michael Busch.
top 8Alex Bregman flies out to center fielder Daniel Schneemann.
top 8Nico Hoerner pops out to second baseman Brayan Rocchio.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 13 batters faced over the last two days
Carson Kelly 2-4 · Alex Bregman 1-4 · Pete Crow-Armstrong 1-3
Cleveland Guardians
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 9 batters faced over the last two days
Chase DeLauter 3-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Gabriel Arias 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · José Ramírez 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.