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Chicago Cubs
1
100% — our call
Final
Cleveland Guardians
0
0% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityCleveland Guardians
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Guardians in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891
Cubs · 2 H, 0 EGuardians · 1 H, 0 E
0%
Guardians win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Guardians win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Daniel Schneemann strikes out swinging.
bot 9Bo Naylor lines out sharply to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.
bot 9Kyle Manzardo grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch.
top 9Dansby Swanson grounds into a force out, shortstop Gabriel Arias to second baseman Brayan Rocchio. Nico Hoerner out at 2nd.
top 9Nico Hoerner hit by pitch.
top 9Pete Crow-Armstrong strikes out swinging.
top 9Ian Happ called out on strikes.
bot 8José Ramírez pops out to second baseman Nico Hoerner.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
Michael Conforto 1-2 · Miguel Amaya 1-2, 1 RBI · Ian Happ 0-4
Cleveland Guardians
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 12 batters faced over the last two days
CJ Kayfus 1-2 · Chase DeLauter 0-3 · Daniel Schneemann 0-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.