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Chicago Cubs
5
0% — our call
Final
Cleveland Guardians
6
100% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityCleveland Guardians
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Guardians in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cubs · 7 H, 0 EGuardians · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Guardians win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Guardians win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Carson Kelly strikes out swinging.
top 9Ian Happ singles on a fly ball to center fielder Steven Kwan. Nico Hoerner scores. Alex Bregman to 3rd.56
top 9Alex Bregman walks. Nico Hoerner to 2nd.
top 9Nico Hoerner walks.
top 9Moisés Ballesteros strikes out swinging.
top 9Pete Crow-Armstrong pops out to second baseman Brayan Rocchio.
bot 8Steven Kwan flies out to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.
bot 8Brayan Rocchio grounds into a force out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to shortstop Dansby Swanson. Gabriel Arias to 3rd. Austin Hedges out at 2nd. Brayan Rocchio to 1st.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
Ian Happ 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Dansby Swanson 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Matt Shaw 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Cleveland Guardians
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 12 batters faced over the last two days
CJ Kayfus 2-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Austin Hedges 2-4, 1 RBI · Gabriel Arias 2-4, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.