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Chicago Cubs
5
100% — our call
Final
Cincinnati Reds
2
0% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityCincinnati Reds
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Reds in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cubs · 8 H, 1 EReds · 4 H, 0 E
0%
Reds win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Reds win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9JJ Bleday pops out to catcher Carson Kelly in foul territory.
bot 9Juan Brito lines out to left fielder Ian Happ.
bot 9Eugenio Suárez strikes out swinging.
bot 9Tyler Stephenson singles on a ground ball to left fielder Ian Happ.
top 9Alex Bregman strikes out swinging.
top 9Pete Crow-Armstrong grounds out, second baseman Juan Brito to first baseman Sal Stewart.
top 9Dansby Swanson homers (19) on a fly ball to left center field.5–2
top 9Matt Shaw grounds out, third baseman Ke'Bryan Hayes to first baseman Sal Stewart.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Michael Busch 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Dansby Swanson 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Seiya Suzuki 2-3, 1 RBI
Cincinnati Reds
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Dane Myers 1-4 · Ke'Bryan Hayes 1-3, 1 RBI · Tyler Stephenson 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.