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Chicago Cubs
9
100% — our call
Final
Cincinnati Reds
1
0% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityCincinnati Reds
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Reds in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cubs · 13 H, 1 EReds · 4 H, 0 E
0%
Reds win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Reds win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9JJ Bleday grounds out, first baseman Michael Busch to pitcher Colin Rea.
bot 9Tyler Stephenson lines out to right fielder Seiya Suzuki.
bot 9Sal Stewart flies out to right fielder Seiya Suzuki.
top 9Pedro Ramírez flies out to center fielder Carlos Jorge.
top 9Michael Conforto grounds into a force out, fielded by shortstop Matt McLain. Nico Hoerner out at 2nd. Michael Conforto to 1st.
top 9Nico Hoerner singles on a ground ball to center fielder Carlos Jorge.
top 9Ian Happ strikes out swinging.
bot 8Elly De La Cruz grounds into a double play, second baseman Matt Shaw to shortstop Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch. Carlos Jorge out at 2nd. Elly De La Cruz out at 1st.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Pete Crow-Armstrong 3-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Michael Conforto 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Pedro Ramírez 3-5, 2 RBI
Cincinnati Reds
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
JJ Bleday 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Elly De La Cruz 1-4 · Matt McLain 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.