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Chicago Cubs
4
0% — our call
Final
Cincinnati Reds
6
100% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityCincinnati Reds
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Reds in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cubs · 9 H, 1 EReds · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Reds win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Reds win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Umpire reviewed (tag play), call on the field was overturned: Michael Busch caught stealing 2nd base, catcher Jose Trevino to shortstop Elly De La Cruz.
top 9Alex Bregman flies out to center fielder Carlos Jorge.
top 9Michael Busch walks.
top 9Seiya Suzuki called out on strikes.
bot 8Jose Trevino lines out to left fielder Ian Happ.
bot 8Héctor Rodríguez strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 8Eugenio Suárez strikes out swinging.
bot 8JJ Bleday singles on a line drive to right fielder Seiya Suzuki.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Michael Conforto 3-4 · Ian Happ 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Carson Kelly 2-2, 1 RBI
Cincinnati Reds
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Elly De La Cruz 2-2 · Sal Stewart 1-3, 1 RBI · Carlos Jorge 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.