Statball

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Milwaukee Brewers
3
0% — our call
Final
Cincinnati Reds
5
100% — our call
Milwaukee Brewersgame flow — win probabilityCincinnati Reds
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Reds in control. Red fill: Brewers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Brewers · 8 H, 0 EReds · 12 H, 1 E
100%
Reds win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Reds win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9William Contreras flies out sharply to center fielder Dane Myers.
top 9Luis Lara pops out to shortstop Elly De La Cruz.
top 9Jackson Chourio singles on a line drive to left fielder TJ Friedl. Gary Sánchez to 3rd. Jake Bauers to 2nd.
top 9Jake Bauers walks.
top 9Gary Sánchez doubles (10) on a ground ball to left fielder TJ Friedl.
top 9Christian Yelich strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 8Carlos Jorge strikes out swinging.
bot 8Jose Trevino grounds out, shortstop Cooper Pratt to first baseman Andrew Vaughn.

Context the model prices

Milwaukee Brewers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
William Contreras 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · David Hamilton 2-3 · Gary Sánchez 2-3
Cincinnati Reds
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Elly De La Cruz 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Matt McLain 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Tyler Stephenson 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.