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St. Louis Cardinals
4
0% — our call
Final
Cincinnati Reds
5
100% — our call
St. Louis Cardinalsgame flow — win probabilityCincinnati Reds
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Reds in control. Red fill: Cardinals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567892232
Cardinals · 9 H, 1 EReds · 7 H, 0 E
100%
Reds win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Reds win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Masyn Winn grounds out softly, pitcher Emilio Pagán to first baseman Sal Stewart.
top 9José Fermín doubles (13) on a sharp line drive to left fielder TJ Friedl.
top 9Jordan Walker homers (25) on a fly ball to right center field. JJ Wetherholt scores.45
top 9Alec Burleson grounds out to first baseman Sal Stewart. JJ Wetherholt to 2nd.
top 9Iván Herrera flies out to left fielder TJ Friedl.
top 9JJ Wetherholt hit by pitch.
bot 8TJ Friedl pops out to catcher Jimmy Crooks in foul territory.
bot 8Tyler Stephenson called out on strikes.

Context the model prices

St. Louis Cardinals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jordan Walker 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · JJ Wetherholt 2-4 · Bryan Torres 1-2, 1 RBI
Cincinnati Reds
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Sal Stewart 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Matt McLain 3-3 · Elly De La Cruz 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.