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Miami Marlins
7
100% — our call
Final
Cincinnati Reds
1
0% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityCincinnati Reds
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Reds in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 8 H, 0 EReds · 4 H, 3 E
0%
Reds win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Reds win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Matt McLain strikes out swinging.
bot 9Michael Toglia grounds into a double play, shortstop Otto Lopez to first baseman Graham Pauley. Eugenio Suárez out at 2nd. Michael Toglia out at 1st.
bot 9Eugenio Suárez singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Heriberto Hernández.
top 9Brian Navarreto strikes out swinging.
top 9Jakob Marsee walks. Graham Pauley to 3rd. Esteury Ruiz to 2nd.
top 9Esteury Ruiz reaches on a fielding error by shortstop Elly De La Cruz. Graham Pauley to 2nd.
top 9Graham Pauley reaches on a fielding error by first baseman Michael Toglia.
top 9Javier Sanoja homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Agustín Ramírez scores. Xavier Edwards scores.71

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Heriberto Hernández 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Javier Sanoja 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Agustín Ramírez 2-5, 2 RBI
Cincinnati Reds
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Tyler Stephenson 1-1, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jose Trevino 2-3 · Eugenio Suárez 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.