Statball

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St. Louis Cardinals
5
0% — our call
Final
Cincinnati Reds
6
100% — our call
St. Louis Cardinalsgame flow — win probabilityCincinnati Reds
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Reds in control. Red fill: Cardinals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cardinals · 11 H, 0 EReds · 13 H, 1 E
100%
Reds win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Reds win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Elly De La Cruz doubles (19) on a ground ball to left fielder José Fermín, deflected by third baseman Blaze Jordan. Tyler Stephenson scores.56
top 10Everson Pereira grounds into a force out, shortstop Matt McLain to second baseman Sal Stewart. José Fermín out at 2nd.
top 10Masyn Winn strikes out swinging.
top 10José Fermín walks.
top 10Joshua Báez strikes out swinging.
bot 9Tyler Stephenson flies out to center fielder Everson Pereira.
bot 9Dane Myers homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.55
bot 9Héctor Rodríguez strikes out swinging, catcher Pedro Pagés to first baseman Alec Burleson.

Context the model prices

St. Louis Cardinals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jordan Walker 3-5 · Iván Herrera 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · JJ Wetherholt 2-5
Cincinnati Reds
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Dane Myers 1-1, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Eugenio Suárez 3-3, 1 RBI · JJ Bleday 3-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.