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Miami Marlins
0
0% — our call
Final
Cincinnati Reds
1
100% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityCincinnati Reds
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Reds in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891
Marlins · 4 H, 0 EReds · 6 H, 0 E
100%
Reds win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Reds win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Otto Lopez flies out to center fielder Dane Myers.
top 9Xavier Edwards flies out to center fielder Dane Myers.
top 9Jakob Marsee grounds out softly, pitcher Emilio Pagán to first baseman Sal Stewart.
bot 8Dane Myers grounds out, second baseman Xavier Edwards to first baseman Leo Jiménez.
bot 8Ke'Bryan Hayes singles on a ground ball to first baseman Leo Jiménez. Sal Stewart to 3rd. Tyler Stephenson to 2nd.
bot 8Eugenio Suárez called out on strikes.
bot 8Tyler Stephenson singles on a line drive to right fielder Esteury Ruiz. Sal Stewart to 2nd.
bot 8JJ Bleday flies out to right fielder Esteury Ruiz.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Heriberto Hernández 1-3 · Xavier Edwards 1-4 · Graham Pauley 1-2
Cincinnati Reds
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Sal Stewart 1-4 · Michael Toglia 1-2 · Ke'Bryan Hayes 1-1

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.