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Miami Marlins
8
100% — our call
Final
Cincinnati Reds
4
0% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityCincinnati Reds
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Reds in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 14 H, 1 EReds · 8 H, 1 E
0%
Reds win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Reds win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Matt McLain strikes out swinging.
bot 9Michael Toglia called out on strikes.
bot 9Héctor Rodríguez strikes out swinging.
top 9Javier Sanoja grounds out to first baseman Sal Stewart.
top 9Esteury Ruiz strikes out swinging.
top 9Graham Pauley doubles (9) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Noelvi Marte. Owen Caissie scores.84
top 9Joe Mack strikes out swinging.
top 9Owen Caissie walks.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jakob Marsee 4-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Joe Mack 3-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Heriberto Hernández 2-4, 3 RBI
Cincinnati Reds
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Matt McLain 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ke'Bryan Hayes 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Sal Stewart 2-4, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.