Statball

← All live games · Great American Ball Park

Pittsburgh Pirates
2
0% — our call
Final
Cincinnati Reds
10
100% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityCincinnati Reds
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Reds in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891131321
Pirates · 4 H, 0 EReds · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Reds win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Reds win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Endy Rodríguez flies out to left fielder JJ Bleday.
top 9Nick Gonzales grounds out, pitcher Zach McCambley to first baseman Sal Stewart.
top 9Spencer Horwitz grounds out, second baseman Matt McLain to first baseman Sal Stewart.
bot 8Dane Myers flies out to center fielder Jhostynxon Garcia.
bot 8Nathaniel Lowe strikes out swinging.
bot 8Tyler Stephenson homers (9) on a fly ball to right field.210
bot 8JJ Bleday flies out to right fielder Esmerlyn Valdez.
top 8Esmerlyn Valdez strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jacob Gonzalez 2-3 · Bryan Reynolds 1-3, 1 RBI · Jared Triolo 1-1, 1 RBI
Cincinnati Reds
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Tyler Stephenson 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Sal Stewart 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nathaniel Lowe 3-4, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.