Statball

← All live games · Great American Ball Park

Pittsburgh Pirates
4
100% — our call
Final
Cincinnati Reds
1
0% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityCincinnati Reds
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Reds in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789311
Pirates · 6 H, 1 EReds · 3 H, 0 E
0%
Reds win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Reds win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Eugenio Suárez strikes out swinging.
bot 9Noelvi Marte flies out to left fielder Bryan Reynolds.
bot 9Nathaniel Lowe grounds out, shortstop Jared Triolo to first baseman Rafael Flores Jr.
top 9Bryan Reynolds flies out to right fielder Noelvi Marte.
top 9Brandon Lowe called out on strikes.
top 9Jake Mangum flies out to right fielder Noelvi Marte.
bot 8JJ Bleday grounds out to first baseman Rafael Flores Jr.
bot 8Sal Stewart called out on strikes.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jake Mangum 2-5 · Brandon Lowe 1-4 · Bryan Reynolds 1-4, 1 RBI
Cincinnati Reds
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jose Trevino 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nathaniel Lowe 1-4 · Eugenio Suárez 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.