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Cleveland Guardians
6
100% — our call
Final
Cincinnati Reds
1
0% — our call
Cleveland Guardiansgame flow — win probabilityCincinnati Reds
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Reds in control. Red fill: Guardians. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Guardians · 13 H, 0 EReds · 6 H, 1 E
0%
Reds win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Reds win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Sal Stewart called out on strikes.
bot 9Elly De La Cruz walks.
bot 9Nathaniel Lowe strikes out swinging.
bot 9Edwin Arroyo flies out to center fielder Petey Halpin.
bot 9JJ Bleday walks.
top 9José Ramírez flies out to right fielder Noelvi Marte.
top 9Steven Kwan singles on a line drive to right fielder Noelvi Marte.
top 9Petey Halpin grounds out, first baseman Sal Stewart to pitcher Pierce Johnson.

Context the model prices

Cleveland Guardians
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Steven Kwan 3-5, 1 RBI · Kyle Manzardo 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Travis Bazzana 2-5, 1 RBI
Cincinnati Reds
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Dane Myers 1-2 · Sal Stewart 1-5 · Noelvi Marte 1-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.