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Chicago Cubs
8
100% — our call
Final
Cincinnati Reds
4
0% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityCincinnati Reds
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Reds in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cubs · 9 H, 0 EReds · 9 H, 0 E
0%
Reds win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Reds win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Spencer Steer flies out to left fielder Ian Happ.
bot 9Umpire reviewed (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Sal Stewart grounds out, third baseman Alex Bregman to first baseman Michael Busch. Edwin Arroyo to 3rd. Elly De La Cruz to 2nd.
bot 9Elly De La Cruz singles on a ground ball to left fielder Ian Happ. Edwin Arroyo to 2nd.
bot 9Ivan Johnson flies out to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.
bot 9Edwin Arroyo singles on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Ian Happ.
top 9Carson Kelly lines out to center fielder Spencer Steer.
top 9Alex Bregman flies out to right fielder Noelvi Marte.
top 9Seiya Suzuki flies out to left fielder JJ Bleday.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Alex Bregman 3-5, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Michael Busch 2-4, 1 RBI · Pete Crow-Armstrong 1-3, 1 RBI
Cincinnati Reds
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Eugenio Suárez 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Spencer Steer 2-5, 1 RBI · Elly De La Cruz 1-5

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.