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Chicago Cubs
0
0% — our call
Final
Cincinnati Reds
4
100% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityCincinnati Reds
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Reds in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678913
Cubs · 4 H, 0 EReds · 13 H, 0 E
100%
Reds win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Reds win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Ian Happ strikes out swinging.
top 9Seiya Suzuki called out on strikes.
bot 8Elly De La Cruz flies out to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.
bot 8Ke'Bryan Hayes flies out to right fielder Seiya Suzuki.
bot 8Edwin Arroyo strikes out swinging.
top 8Alex Bregman strikes out swinging.
top 8Pete Crow-Armstrong pops out to third baseman Ke'Bryan Hayes in foul territory.
top 8Dansby Swanson singles on a ground ball to third baseman Ke'Bryan Hayes.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Seiya Suzuki 2-4 · Ian Happ 1-3 · Dansby Swanson 1-3
Cincinnati Reds
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Elly De La Cruz 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Spencer Steer 3-4 · JJ Bleday 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.